Bitcoin price expected to rise to $255,000 by year-end
Although the price of Bitcoin (BTC) has fallen by nearly 40% from its October 2025 record high, a long-term valuation model predicts a rapid recovery for the cryptocurrency, reaching $255,000 by the end of the year. The logarithmic model, known as the Bitcoin Decay Channel, tracks BTC's long-term growth trend, accounting for changes in each new cycle. This is reported by Cointelegraph.com reports .
According to this model, while the cryptocurrency's peaks in 2013, 2017, and 2021 formed in high valuation ranges, bear market lows have repeatedly returned to the lower support zone. Analyst Sminston notes that the Bitcoin price began to rebound from the lower part of this channel in March-April of this year, indicating increased buyer activity.
In his latest report, Sminston set a "conservative" target range for Bitcoin of $90,000 to $255,000 by the end of the year. He also predicts that prices will be between $128,000 and $308,000 by the end of 2027. These forecasts align with the views of many other experts regarding new records in 2026.
Specifically, Bernstein analysts have maintained a $150,000 target for 2026, but expect a peak of $200,000 to be reached in 2027 due to institutional adoption and the impact of Bitcoin ETFs. Arthur Hayes, a co-founder of BitMEX, stated that increased fiat liquidity due to U.S. military spending and demand for AI infrastructure could push the Bitcoin price to $126,000 this year.
Nevertheless, there are also signs of caution in the market. A number of bearish indicators, including a multi-month "bear flag" pattern, warn that prices could fall further. Currently, investors are closely monitoring Fed policy and the global economic situation.
