Political analysts and international publications, including Politico, announce five conflicts and possible wars that are highly likely to strongly affect the world within the next five years. These analyses are based on the latest data and reports collected by U.S. intelligence agencies.
First, the conflict between India and Pakistan is the most serious. Both countries are equipped with nuclear weapons, and their number is the highest compared to other countries in the world. Pakistan has 170 nuclear weapons, while India has 180. The internal political situation of both sides creates conditions that may lead to escalation and conflict. Therefore, any uncertainty could cause a major disaster.
Second, the confrontation between China and Taiwan may determine who holds global power in the 21st century. The United States has long announced its support for Taiwan, but many analysts doubt how faithfully Trump can remain committed to this promise. Any action in this region could darken global politics.
Third, the geopolitical confrontation between Russia and the Baltic states also cannot be ignored. Putin’s goal is to again take control over territories that historically should be part of Russia, as well as to test NATO’s strategy and the strategies of European countries. Any movement in this region could pose a significant threat to European security.
Fourth, the border conflict between India and China also shows a serious threat. On the Indian side, there are more population centers than on the Chinese side, which increases the likelihood of misunderstandings and escalation. Currently, the troops of both countries are restricted from carrying weapons at the border, but traditional prevention mechanisms, agreements, and communication lines are absent. Any wrong decision or mistake could escalate into a major conflict.
Fifth, the Korean Peninsula is one of the most uncertain and dangerous regions. North Korea is gradually being torn apart by economic pressure and famine. The cruelty of its government has brought the country to a paralyzed state. Kim Jong Un may not see himself as the next Saddam Hussein or Muammar Gaddafi. His attention is primarily focused on nuclear weapons. If the leader senses weakness or threat, any event may occur.
Additionally, experts note that conflicts in these five regions are not limited to military clashes only. They can significantly affect the global economy, politics, and international diplomacy. Therefore, in the next five years, these conflicts will be in the spotlight, and their development will require each state to reconsider its security strategies.
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