The signals circulating in the coming weeks, relying on Axios sources, indicate one thing: one of Donald Trump's most difficult decisions - whether to switch to a military scenario for Iran - has once again come to the forefront. According to the source, Trump's circle is urging him not to get into a major war, but there are also assessments that "the probability of a strike is very high."
And the actions in the region also show that these words are not just "political hype." Various sources are writing about the sharp increase in US military activity in the Middle East: the scale of the air and navy, logistics, and air refueling capabilities resemble the picture of operations that can last longer.
"Show force" or preparation for the operation?
Sources told Reuters that planning is underway for a scenario of "strikes that could last weeks if ordered." There's an important point here: typically, "panic" against the backdrop of diplomacy is limited to one or two technical actions. But the scenario "can last for weeks" is already a bigger package, a bigger risk, a bigger consequence.
Axios writes that Trump himself said "if negotiations don't go well, I'm thinking of sending a second air carrier group for the strike." This means that Washington has not yet closed the diplomatic door, but a "big iron key" is also ready by the door.
Senators' pressure and "hurry" mood
The mood around the topic was also intensified by Lindsey Graham's speeches: Reuters reports noted that she made sharp statements against the backdrop of the Munich Security Conference. Such statements usually accelerate debates in the White House: one side says "war is the last resort," while the other side puts pressure in the spirit of "it's not too late anymore."
There are negotiations, but there are also concerns
Judging by the line at Axios, negotiations between the US and Iran have resumed, and there is even talk of the next rounds. However, military meetings are also taking place in parallel - and the simultaneous movement of these two paths often implies the classic scenario of "without agreement, force works."
For now, the most accurate conclusion is this: the situation is escalating rapidly, and decisions can be made within weeks, not months. Moreover, in the Middle East, the word "hit" often turns into a domino effect: an explosion at one point is a response at another.
For people, the most important thing is: reading news with facts, not emotions. Because there's a lot of "noise" and "scenarios" in big politics - but the consequences still affect real life.
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