As the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League season enters its peak, the supercomputer of the Opta analytical center has published a new forecast of the main contenders for the main prize of the competition. According to Opta's calculations published in The Analyst, London's Arsenal is listed as the most likely team to win the tournament. Some re-published reports estimate Arsenal's chances at 29.45%.
It's no coincidence that the team led by Mikel Arteta topped this ranking. According to supercomputer estimates, the Gunners are considered one of Europe's most stable, reliable, and seemingly most prepared teams for the main trophy this season. This, of course, is a great hope for Arsenal fans and a serious warning for the opponents.
Bayern Munich, a former Bundesliga giant, is in second place on the list of candidates. The probability of the Munich club winning the championship is estimated at around 14.56%. This means the Germans are still among the strong contenders for the main prize, but in terms of numbers, they are significantly behind Arsenal.
Another interesting aspect is that Manchester City, where Abduqodir Husanov plays, is also among the favorites. According to Opta's calculations, the city's chances of winning the competition are estimated at 13.42%. This indicator puts City in third place and means the team still remains a dangerous force on the big stage.
It's worth noting that English clubs once again hold a significant advantage among the strong teams. Liverpool is also at the top of the list, with some reports indicating a 10.44% probability. Chelsea is also mentioned among the favorites. That is, according to Opta's forecast, English Premier League clubs are once again being described as the main force in Europe.
One of the points that sparked the most discussion was, of course, the relatively low rating given to Real Madrid. For many fans and experts, such a low probability compared to the Madrid side was perceived as unexpected. The 3.9 percent figure cited in the text is also the reason for this controversy - because when referring to the Champions League, the name "Real" is usually mentioned in the top tier. The Analyst's updated forecasts can change at different stages, so these figures are likely to shift again during the competition.
In short, supercomputer numbers are currently showing Arsenal as the main favorite. But the most interesting aspect of football is this - the numbers say one thing, while the field can write a different story. Time, the draw, and the decisive nights are now responsible for how accurate these assumptions are.
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