The first matches of the UEFA Champions League semi-final stage were as intense and goal-rich as expected. One of the most brilliant matches took place in Paris, where PSG defeated Bayern Munich 5-4 at home. At the same time, in the confrontation in Madrid, Atletico Madrid and Arsenal could not determine a winner — 1-1.
At first glance, the results seem equal, but statistical analysis shows a completely different picture. The Opta supercomputer has released its updated calculations, and according to it, Arsenal is currently seen as the main favorite. The Londoners' chances of winning the championship are estimated at 39 percent.
The Paris club is in second place — PSG's chance of winning is nearly 31 percent. Bayern Munich is in third place, with its chances estimated at around 22 percent. The lowest indicator belongs to Atletico — the Madrid side's chance of reaching the final and winning the trophy is considered to be less than 8 percent.
Of course, these figures are only predictions and modeled calculations. Everything can change on the pitch. Because in the semi-final stage, every small mistake itself can decide fate.
Now all attention is focused on the return matches. They will take place on May 5 and 6 in the cities of London and Munich. The final will be organized on May 30 in Budapest.
In short, the numbers say Arsenal is the favorite. But the Champions League is such a tournament where not calculations, but character and decisive moments bring victory.
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