The draw for the 2026 World Cup opened a new historical page for our national football. Uzbekistan, having qualified for its first World Cup, has dropped to Group "K," where strong opponents like Portugal and Colombia are waiting for it. The third team will be determined in March - it could be the Democratic Republic of Congo, New Caledonia, or Jamaica.
After the draw, which aroused great interest in the football world, artificial intelligence also analyzed the situation in the group and assessed the chances of Uzbekistan reaching the playoffs. Although these assessments are not an official forecast, they are considered an important criterion that helps to understand the situation.
Portugal - Group Leader
A squad full of stars like Rafael Leão, Ruben Dias, and Bruno Fernandes are among the main favorites for the World Cup. The most important task for Uzbekistan in this match is to avoid a major defeat. And a draw will be not only a sensation, but also a big "bonus" for the playoffs.
Colombia is an unstable but strong opponent
A team with high physical strength and good technical skills. However, they sometimes lack stability. In this regard, Uzbekistan has a real chance of getting points from Colombia. This game can be decisive in the fate of the group.
DR Congo / New Caledonia / Jamaica - the most favorable opponent
It's not yet clear which team will be our opponent. However, artificial intelligence sees DR Congo as the most "favorable" rival due to defensive disorders. Uzbekistan aims for victory in this match.
Exit formulas
Variant A: 2nd place contest
The main condition of this path is to defeat the African opponent. At least a draw should be recorded against Colombia. Without a heavy defeat against Portugal, the chances of second place with 4 points would be very high.
Option B: Entering through top 3 places
Fabio Cannavaro's team, with 3-4 points and a positive goal difference, can also qualify for the playoffs for 3rd place.
Estimated capabilities:
- Probability of 1st-2nd place: 20-30%
- Probability of passing through 3rd place: 15-20%
- Total playoff chances: 35-45%
Conclusion
Uzbekistan is not an absolute outsider in this group. On the contrary - as a team with a significantly strengthened composition, strong discipline, and its own style, it is ready for competition. With a victory against Congo, a point from Colombia, and a heavy defeat against Portugal, Cannavaro's men could continue their first World Cup in history with a playoff.
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