Let’s be honest: the price of gasoline is not just the number on the gas station display, but an issue that affects every family’s daily expenses, the cost of goods, and even taxi fares. As 2026 approaches, the question “will gasoline get cheaper or rise again?” is on almost everyone’s mind.
The short answer: there is little hope for a decrease, while steady growth is very realistic.
Why won’t prices fall after 2026?
1. The state is moving to market rules
In recent years, artificial restrictions in Uzbekistan’s fuel market have been gradually removed. This means gasoline prices are now increasingly shaped by supply and demand. Where there is a market, the concept of “cheap” does not last long.
2. Dependence on oil imports remains
Uzbekistan imports a large share of its gasoline. If oil prices rise on the global market, this directly affects prices at domestic fuel pumps. This situation will not change in 2026 either.
3. Environmental standards are becoming stricter
Transitioning to Euro-5 and Euro-6 standards is not a cheap process. Higher quality means higher production costs. This rule also applies to gasoline.
How high could prices go?
Giving exact figures now would be guesswork. But based on trends:
AI-92 and AI-95 gasoline will rise slowly but steadily
Sharp jumps are unlikely, but 2–3 small increases during the year are possible
By the end of 2026, the difference compared to current prices may become noticeable
In other words: there will be no one-day “explosion,” but wallets will still feel the impact.
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